NetBeans Users Expect Linux Adoption of Java in 2007
Our recent poll asked six NetBeans experts to look ahead in 2007 and make predictions for NetBeans and the Java industry. The NetBeans community voted over a month and by a narrow margin decided that Jaroslav “Yarda” Tulach’s prediction was most likely to happen. His forecast, that Linux users would adopt Java as a result of last year’s open-sourcing, received 25% of the votes. Evangelist Gregg Sporar’s outlook on the growth of EJB3 and the Java Persistence API was a close second with 13 less votes. Do NetBeans evangelists know something most of us don’t? Another evangelist, Roman Strobl, received the third most votes with his prediction that NetBeans would see increased market share.
Results of the Poll:
23% — EJB3 and the Java Persistence API gain momentum (Gregg Sporar)
18% — NetBeans market share will continue to grow (Roman Strobl)
15% — Java desktop APIs improve (Leonardo Galväo)
8% — NetBeans IDE's scripting support attracts new users (Geertjan Wielenga)
5% — Sun will strengthen its investments in open-source communities (Bruno Souza)
5% — Others
(Read the detailed predictions.)
Voters also had the option of casting ballots for their own forecast. A few entries touched on the after-effects of Java going open-source, while most anticipated a rise in the number of new and experienced developers using the NetBeans IDE. Submitted predictions included:
“Thanks to the NetBeans Platform Book, we will see an explosion of NetBeans Modules.”
“NetBeans will increase the productivity potential of many thousands of developers by recognizing the high priority need for, and implementing VIM (or VIM-like functionality) as an editor choice within the IDE.”
“Java overcomes current performance limitations due to open-source efforts.”
“As much as possible, some developers will develop their applications using the Ruby language because the Java language is becoming complex and ugly because of a lack of good language design philosophy.”
While the idea of a poll might suggest that there are correct answers and those that are less so, in an interview about the prediction poll Tulach thoughtfully pointed out that there were no right or wrong entries. And perhaps there is no better evidence of this than the recent “year in preview” article by popular tech blogger Elliotte Harold in which he expanded on many of the same points—Linux adoption of Java, increased NetBeans market share, and more—summed up by our NetBeans experts. Thus, an ideal assessment of the final results should not focus on perceived shortcomings of any of the six entries, but instead recognize what they have in common: a positive outlook for NetBeans and Java in 2007.
Thank you to our six NetBeans experts and all those who voted!